Monday, March 25, 2019

kdo's 2019 MLB fantasy baseball prognostications


rotohead’s fantasy baseball prognostications

fantasy awards:

NL hitting MVP: Freddie Freeman, .326 BA, 39 HR, 12 SB, 114 R, 132 RB
runner-up: Juan Soto, .308 BA, 42 HR, 10 SB, 106 R, 124 RB
NL pitching MVP: Stephen Strasburg, 20 W, 236 K, 2.76 ERA, 1.02 WHIP
runner-up: Noah Syndergaard, 17 W, 242 K, 2.98 ERA, 1.11 WHIP
NL hitting ROY: Victor Robles, .286 BA, 14 HR, 42 SB, 101 R, 64 RB
runner-up: Nick Senzel, .294 BA, 18 HR, 9 SB, 88 R, 68 RB
NL pitching ROY: Chris Paddack, 12 W, 52 K, 2.97 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

AL hitting MVP: Tommy Pham, .293 BA, 32 HR, 30 SB, 116 R, 104 RBI
runner-up: Aaron Judge, .281 BA, 48 HR, 8 SB, 109 R, 114 RB
AL pitching MVP: Chris Sale, 21 W, 300 K, 2.71 ERA, .98 WHIP
runner-up: Corey Kluber, 19 W, 238 K, 2.88 ERA, 1.01 WHIP
AL hitting ROY: Eloy Jimenez, .296 BA, 31 HR, 1 SB, 84 R, 102 RBI
runner-up: Vladimir Guerrero, Jr., .314 BA, 24 HR, 1 SB, 72 R, 88 RBI
AL pitching ROY: Forrest Whitley, 8 W, 138 K, 3.12 ERA, 1.04 WHIP

100 picks and pans:

1.       A.J. Minter, 29 S, 86 K, 2.32 ERA, 1.08 WHIP
2.       Johan Camargo finds 500 at bats and hit .290 with 25 HR
3.       Kevin Gausman, analytics said it was luck, his luck continues, 200 K & 20 W
4.       Mike Foltynewicz command falters and WHIP balloons to 1.42
5.       Zack Godley surpasses 200 k's with a 1.22 whip
6.       David Peralta had 30 HR in 2018 but won’t hit half that in 2019
7.       Dylan Bundy bounces back, 220 K and a 1.18 WHIP
8.       Rafael Devers, .280 BA, 33HR, 102 RBI
9.       Eduardo Rodriguez enjoys an injury free season and sets career highs, 18 W, 210 K
10.   Jackie Bradley, Jr. has his first 20/20 season
11.   J.D. Martinez fails to reach 400 at bats
12.   Ian Happ gets recalled and is 2018 Javier Baez (with walks)
13.   Jose Quintana has a career year, 190K, 17 wins and a whip under 1.20
14.   Yoan Moncada reduces his K rate, and goes 25/25
15.   Tim Anderson does not reach 20 HR or 20 SB
16.   Yasiel Puig does not reach 500 at bats and is not a top 100 player
17.   Trevor Bauer has a 1.30 + WHIP and is a fantasy bust.
18.   David Dahl breakout, 30 HR, 12 SB
19.   Ian Desmond finally benefits in Coors Field, .280 AVE, 32 HR, 20 SB
20.   Jon Gray outperforms German Marquez
21.   Daniel Murphy does not reach 15 HR
22.   Matt Boyd pitches like an Ace
23.   Nick Castellanos with a career year, .304 AVE, 29 HR, 102 R, 108 RBI
24.   Miguel Cabrera is the comeback player of the year
25.   Joe Jimenez becomes an elite Closer for the Tigers
26.   Josh Reddick hit .242 in 2018, he will hit .300 with 20 HR in 2019
27.   Jose Altuve has a career year, .342 AVE, 26 HR, 32 SB
28.   Forrest Whitley will be drafted in the 2nd round in 2019
29.   Whit Merrifield will not steal more than 25 bases
30.   Billy Hamilton will double Whit’s SB total with 50+
31.   Jorge Soler powers 30 jacks
32.   Tyler Skaggs is a top 30 pitcher
33.   Shohei Ohtani delivers 30 HR, 10 SB 
34.   Cody Bellinger hits 45 HR
35.   Alex Verdugo, .300 AVE, 15 HR, 15 SB
36.   Max Muncy hits under .250 and has less than 20 HR
37.   Yasmani Grandal is not a top 10 catcher
38.   Corbin Burnes is Milwaukee’s Ace
39.   Jesus Aguilar will lose the starting job and have less than 300 AB.
40.   Jorge Polanco goes 20/20
41.   Byron Buxton goes 20/30
42.   Max Kepler goes 30/10
43.   Eddie Rosario is the least productive of the 3 listed above
44.   Jacob DeGrom pitches like an Ace
45.   Noah Syndergaard pitches better than Jacob DeGrom
46.   Ahmed Rosario swipes 40 bags
47.   Pete Alonzo, delights with a .260 AVE, 30 HR 
48.   Michael Conforto hits 41 HR
49.   Aaron Judge leads the AL in home runs with 48
50.   Giancarlo Stanton does not reach 30 HR
51.   Gleyber Torres avoids a sophomore slump, goes 30/10
52.   Gary Sanchez will be the #1 fantasy catcher
53.   Matt Chapman hits 35 HR
54.   A.J. Puk is dominant in his brief stint, A’s Ace in 2020
55.   Blake Treinen has command issues, A’s go with Closer by committee
56.   Odubel Herrera goes 25/20
57.   Nick Pivetta is all hype. Strikeouts are there but so is the ugly 1.40 WHIP
58.   Zach Eflin is the best Phillies pitcher (after Aaron Nola)
59.   Josh Bell is fantasy goodness, 28 HR, 100 RBI
60.   Kirby Yates leads the NL in Saves with 44
61.   Fernando Tatis, Jr. is sent down to the minors in June
62.   Fernando Tatis, Jr. returns in August to lead the Padres to the playoffs
63.   Manuel Margot tops 20/20
64.   Franchy Cordero tops 20/10
65.   Hunter Renfroe hits more than 35 home runs
66.   Franmil Reyes hits more than 30 home runs
67.   I am only right on 2 of the 4 predictions made above 
68.   Chris Paddack has a Walker Buehler type rookie season
69.   Matt Strahm has a better season than Chris Paddack
70.   Hunter Strickland will not be closing for Seattle come July
71.   Mallex Smith hits under .260 and has less than 25 SB
72.   Dee Gordon doubles Mallex SB total with 50+
73.   Domingo Santana goes 16/6, but that’s really nothing to write home about
74.   Madison Bumgarner, a return to glory: 15W, 208 K, 2.98 ERA and 1.08 WHIP
75.   Buster Posey bats .308 with 21 HR
76.   Brandon Belt just misses 30 HR (settles for 28)
77.   Reyes Moronta is the Giants Closer by midseason
78.   Jeff Samardzija delights with 200 K and a WHIP below 1.20
79.   Matt Carpenter bats .244 and struggles to hit 20 HR
80.   Jack Flaherty is dominant, 220 K with a 1.10 WHIP
81.   Alex Reyes disappoints with an ERA over 4.0 and a WHIP over 1.35
82.   Willy Adames, .294 AVE, 20 HR, 15 SB, not too shabby
83.   Austin Meadows, breakout alert: .288 AVE, 25 HR, 18 SB, 100 R 
84.   Tyler Glasnow, great K rate but command still dicey, 2020 will be his year 
85.   Rougned Odor, Believe it or not! .270, 30 HR, 15 SB, 90 R, 100 RBI
86.   Joey Gallo hits 46 HR with .230 AVE but .346 OBP! You down with OBP?
87.   Nomar Mazara hits 30+ homers with 100 RBI
88.   Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a consensus 1st rounder in 2020 
89.   Bo Bichette gets the call by August and rakes. A consensus 5th rounder in 2020
90.   Danny Jansen struggles mightily, .244 AVE, 8 HR
91.   Ken Giles somehow gets 38 Saves for a 68 win team
92.   Max Scherzer shows no sign of slowing down and is dominant
93.   Stephen Strasburg is more dominating and wins the Cy Young award
94.   Juan Soto is even better than last season… by a lot!
95.   Anthony Rendon has career year: .316, 32 HR, 100 R, 110 RBI
96.   Trea Turner steals 68 bases to lead the majors
97.   Washington Nationals defeat the Atlanta Braves in the NLCS
98.   New York Yankees defeat the Houston Astros in the ALCS
99.   Washington Nationals defeat the New York Yankees in the World Series
100.   Baseball season is now over and I long for April 2020
#oftenwrongneverindoubt












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