Thursday, March 7, 2019

My game plan for drafting pitching in 2019

Drafting pitching in a 15 team 5x5 Standard Roto league.

Goal: Be among the league leaders in ERA, WHIP and Saves while settling for middle of the pack in Wins and upper middle tier in K’s.

Round 1-5: Get 2 Aces

Rounds 7-12: Get 2 Quality Closers (Do not draft one until at least the top 2 Closers have been drafted)

Rounds 16 -18: Get 1 Middle reliever with a chance to close that can get 80k+ with a great whip and era (Betances, Seranthony, Minter) or your 3rd starter with high k/9 rate that won’t kill your whip.

That is a total of 5 pitchers through 18 rounds. You must Pound, Pound, Pound hitting with your 13 other picks. Make sure to dominate all Hitting Categories, don’t punt any category when it comes to Hitting.

Round 19–23: Get 4 pitchers to make a total of 9 pitchers by the end of round 23. You need to solidify your rotation while not screwing up your whip and ratios. I know... easier said than done. There will be lots of bargain pitchers available as other owners will be scrambling to fill out the rest of their starting offensive players.

Problem is several of these guys are going to end up being horrible, but a handful will help you win a title, key is choosing the right one. Good thing about drafting pitchers this late is if/when they become a detriment to your team, you will have no problem dropping them. 1/3 to over 1/2 of these players will be drafted prior to round 18. Resist the urge to reach for any pitcher listed. Let the other owners help make the decision for you so when it’s your turn to pick in round 19, you can just select the next available player of your choice from the players listed below.

Bounce back Starters:
Robbie Ray
Jose Quintana
Jon Gray
Zack Godley
Dylan Bundy
Luke Weaver

Starters with mixed results returning from injury:
Alex Reyes
Tyler Skaggs
Michael Fulmer
Steven Matz
Julio Urias
Yu Darvish
Jimmy Nelson
Jeff Samardzija
Carlo Rodon
Michael Pineda
Vincent Velasquez

The Reliever turned (possible) Starter:
Tyler Glasnow
Collin McHugh
Corbin Burnes
Josh James
Mike Minor
Matt Strahm
Brad Peacock
Seth Lugo
Freddy Peralta
Yonny Chirinos
Jonathan Loaisiga

Under the radar guys who had a nice 2018 - can they build on it in 2019?
Andrew Heaney
Nathan Eovaldi
Joe Musgrove
Joey Lucchesi
Tyler Anderson
Mike Fiers
Kevin Gausman
Matt Boyd
Jhoulys Chacin
Joey Lucchesi
Marco Estrada
Zach Eflin
Jose Urena
Derek Holland
Marco Gonzalez
Reynaldo Lopez
Dereck Rodriguez
Jacob Junis
Robert Erlin
Trevor Richards

Jesus Luzardo
Forrest Whitley
Chris Paddack
Allen Logan
Brent Honeywell
Touki Toussaint (Mike Soroka, Luiz Gohara)

Reserve rounds: Add a couple from the leftovers listed above and add another middle reliever with a chance to close

Relievers worth stashing:
Trevor May
Blake Parker
Joe Jimenez
Jose Castillo
Kelvin Herrera
Ryan Brasier
Sergio Romo
Diego Castillo
Keone Kela
Yoshihisa Hirano
Hector Neris
Swung-Huang Oh
Reyes Moronta
Craig Stammen

Like with all strategies, you must be a little lucky. But I believe you create your own luck by being prepared. The beauty of this strategy is if you choose wrong, you weren’t heavily invested on that player, so the player is an easy drop. If you reach for a player in the late single digit or early teen rounds, you end up being married to that player and continue to start him to your team’s detriment as their era and whip destroy your pitching.

Give this strategy a shot…
Thank me at seasons end. #oftenwrongneverindoubt

About me: I have been playing fantasy baseball since 1987. I have no analytical expertise or crunch any numbers to support my conclusions. I simply gather up as much info as I can from the smart guys in the industry and then come up with my 2 cents. My one advantage over most of the smart guys is that they are too smart to take risks on certain players as the data won’t allow them to do it. I on the other hand, take all the data and add the human element to it, things that cannot be quantified through math and incorporate my knowledge through experience to foresee a player’s potential breakout or potential bust alert. So, while I cannot back up anything I write about with actual data, my history of winning as well as losing these past 30 years has allowed me to adapt to the year to year trends and strategies which make me a better fantasy baseball player. I can be found 24/7 on Baseball 365 Facebook page or on Twitter @iRotohead

Cheers & Play Ball,

Khang Do (Can Doe)

click to enter Baseball 365

No comments:

Post a Comment